I completely agree - I'm just giving a heads up that you will need huge lenses for there to be any advantage.
The rear part of the lens will be wider but the short flange distance may permit an otherwise simpler optical construction and that could lead to a smaller overall size of the lens (wide angles mainly).
There have been patents for a new 35/1.2 and 50/0.9 the latter of which is very large.
Yes, the market will be small. But the rumored lenses included 24-70/4 which would seem more mainstream.
Edit to add, I don't see why VR in the body, IBIS would require a larger diameter mount.
Edit: Ah, now I see I misunderstood your point.
IBIS at least theoretically would require a larger circle of coverage from the lens so that when the sensor is moved, the lens can still produce a full image without cropping. A larger mount may make it easier to achieve a larger image circle. However, I don't know how large the range of movement in IBIS is.
IBIS is said to be effective against rotation of the camera (i.e. when pressing the shutter button, the camera tends to rotate a bit around the optical axis) so it's more flexible than the X- and Y-compensation of conventional stabilization systems. Also it would permit stabilization with lenses that don't support it in the lens. People seem to be very happy with the latest generations of IBIS.
I think IBIS has the disadvantage that transfer of heat from the sensor to the body and out of it would be more difficult than when the sensor is fixed to the body. This is seen when doing long exposures at night, there are reports of increasing noise with IBIS cameras compared to those where there is no sensor stabilization. Apart from long exposures, this may show up in extended video use.
I think there are pros and cons to both sensor and lens based stabilization. Lens based VR is said to adversely affect bokeh, though I must say I haven't seen this effect myself. Also the VR system may break in which case it is a trip to service. My 70-200/4 came with faulty VR unit out of the box; Nikon repaired it under warranty. There was a rattle which I noticed immediately when starting to use the lens, but the lens did work, only in cold temperatures did the VR actually malfunction. Service found faulty VR system as source of the rattle and replaced almost everything in the lens.
Stabilization is not critical to my use but it is occasionally of value. I don't generally base purchase decisions around the presence of or absence of stabilization because I feel that a lens or camera without it may be more durable, but sometimes the technology does have practical benefits.