A most interesting thread. Stimulating.
Indeed
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It's basically a question of
how well our purchase decisions are aligned with the future
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Manual focus?
No worries (adapters have little effect on function).
Auto-focus?
Big worries (adapters have
significant effect on function).
It is clear the camera companies have made their decision, but DSLRs will persist for many years. As suggested in an active thread on DPR, DSLRs are analogous to crocodiles in an evolutionary context. They will thrive in key ecosystems, especially as their designs incorporate key +ve traits as mirrorless cameras innovate. This could well see exploiting mirror lockup for silent shutter and faster fps IF needed https://www.dpreview.com/forums/thread/4271743?page=4#forum-post-61007265
The only 'advantages' DSLR cameras have are because CaNikon haven't really entered the realm, seriously. (Their main technology is still ensconced in DSLRs).
Sony utterly failed in their pathetic DSLR venture ... but they're picking up steam in their mirrorless venture!
As I mentioned, Sony is
dwarfed by CaNikon in
lens development. All CaNikon would have to do is
create different lens mounts, to their existing lenses, and "whollah!" they have a complete line of lenses, new mounts, no problem. Sony/Fuji/Panasonic/Pentax are
nowhere near this stage of
lens development
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And, at the end of the day, lenses are
everything, after all ...
However, Sony
has proven certain limitations of using a mirror ... and certain undeniable freedoms of dropping the mirror.
It is clear as day, to anyone with eyes to see, that the archaic mirror is only an impediment to future progress.
Are the current, mirrored D5/D850/D500 SLRs
already great now? Yes indeed
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However, as
new technologies develop, retaining the mirror will only hold DSLRs back ... whereas
dropping the mirror entirely will give future prototypes a level of freedom DSLRs can never enjoy.
So DSLRs and Mirrorless will coexist in the same ecosystem, with the former in key trophic niches, the keystone camera for pros. The DSLR serves a vast diversity of genres rather well.
There is a saying in biology: "
No two organisms can occupy the same role in an ecosystem." (One will eventually take over, while the other will become extinct.)
The current mainstay is the DSLR; however, the 'new kid' (the mirrorless) has all of the environmental advantages for future development (evolution).
The truth is, if/when CaNikon decides to pour ALL of their technology into mirrorless (which, IMO, they will,
shortly), the existence of a 'mirror' in future camera designs will become unjustifiable.
The interview with Yamaki-san, Sigma CEO, is an interesting read. Really warm to this guy :-)
https://www.dpreview.com/interviews/2150589362/sigma-interview-this-is-just-the-beginning
A great article indeed ...
If it comes to be, How will Nikon's rumoured Z-mount really differ from that of the F mount?
Which brings us to
the point of my original thread: Nikon
should make an entirely new lens mount, to deal with the pending contemporary paradigm shift in technology.
However, they should
also borrow from Sigma's GREAT innovative idea, and that is to offer
a lens mount conversion service, to dampen the shock of the forthcoming transition.
The advantage of this idea (credit to Sigma) is 1) it enables a much better solution than 'adapters', and 2) it makes a person's lens investment decision
now entirely 'risk free' for the future ... which is a big concern for anyone wanting to buy 'new AF DSLR glass' ... in an age where DSLRs are headed into extinction
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