IMO, one of the most brilliant concepts Sigma Corporation has is their
Mount Conversion Service—where, basically, if you decide to switch brands (e.g., from Canon to Nikon), you
don't have to sell your lens at all—instead, you can pay Sigma a nominal fee ($100 to $380), and they will simply
change the mount of your lens to the mount of the another manufacturer.
I think Nikon could learn from this innovative/adaptable perspective as a means by which to handle the pending shift from conventional DSLRs into the mirrorless era.
If you have read the latest DP Review Article,
The Reign of the DSLR is Almost Over, the most important single sentence out of the 1826-word piece is this:
- It’s hard to imagine, for example, how much more advanced Nikon’s DSLR platform can get, following the release of the D5 and D850.
(However,) At a certain point, the mirror and prism will become barriers to further innovation, and if we haven't reached that point already, surely we must be getting close?
As a companion, it is important to realize the following two truths:
- Third party high-end vendors Voigtländer and Zeiss are all targeting mirrorless with their future endeavors.
- From a long-term perspective, 'cameras' really don't matter; lenses are what truly matter, from an investment perspective.
That said, one of the greatest trepidations I have about buying any more 'Nikon glass' is
where will its relevance be in 2 years?

Will I be stuck with a 'dead end'? Or will there be some way to
adapt it to the future ... and do I really want 'an adapter,'
even if it's available?

IMO Nikon's greatest move toward the future would be to offer
a Lens Mount Conversion Service, for their existing customers, to help them transition into the new era. Physically-altering the mount is a superior solution to an 'adapter,' at a roughly-equivalent price point. Not to mention that
the knowledge of this being available would make purchasing existing AF lens choices more secure for newer customers.
In keeping with the above, on advantage Nikon has (that newbies Sony/Fuji
don't have), is
Nikon already has the lens designs to far more elite glass than any of these companies do, and by a country mile.
It will be far easier for Nikon to utilize these same formulas, and merely re-design their existing lens mounts to be mirrorless, than it will be for the Sonys/Fujis to come up with as many brand-new, totally-fresh lens developments as to what Nikon has already

Thoughts?